What now for Aston Villa and Martin O’Neill?

Martin O'NeillIt’s unusual enough for a manager to quit a club just five days before a new season begins, it’s even more unusual when that manager is one such as Martin O’Neill.

The general consensus is that Villa owner Randy Lerner’s sell before you buy transfer policy for the summer and the coming season, along with the impending sale of James Milner to Manchester City and questions over how much of the fee he would get to spend was what led to O’Neill’s departure.

Personally, I can’t think of another reason so I’m prepared to accept that. I can’t help thinking Lerner has made a huge mistake, however. Who can better what O’Neill has achieved with Villa? Some of the names being batted around just don’t cut it. And Milner will still leave, depriving the club of one of their significant driving forces on the pitch.

Any incoming manager isn’t going to be able to strengthen or change the team before January as the window will close very soon, so he’ll have to make do. For Villa, the only way is surely down.

USA coach Bob Bradley has been touted as a possible replacement. Makes sense with Lerner being a Yank himself, though guiding the USA to the World Cup and topping the group stage is no preparation for the cut and thrust of the Premiership, as impressive as it might have been. That particular appointment would end in tears, I fear, not least for the Villa supporters.

Ajax’s Martin Jol would be a much better choice and has been linked, but he turned down Fulham to remain at the Dutch club so why would he move to Villa? No disrespect to them, but it’s not THAT much more of an attractive club. Can’t see that one happening at all.

Money motivated Sven-Goran Eriksson has inevitably been suggested too, but if money is the issue at Aston Villa it doesn’t seem like the right fit for the Swede. To be fair to Sven, it wouldn’t be a terrible choice, though I can’t see a single supporter being happy with it. Again, I just can’t see it happening.

Who else is available? Plenty, but none inspire confidence. Alan Curbishley (remember him!), Gareth Southgate, or what about a sensational and rather unlikely return for Graham Taylor? You can see Villa’s problem. In the meantime, reserve team boss Kevin MacDonald will take charge for the first game of the season. A win and a performance and who knows, maybe he could get the job – it would be easy and cheap after all…

Dark days ahead for the club then, but less so for O’Neill you feel. There isn’t a club available right now but you can bet he’ll be in demand in the Premiership and Championship when the first round of managerial cullings occurs and the way things are in football right now, that won’t be too far away.

O’Neill will take a holiday, I’m sure, then assess his future, look for his next challenge, because it’s challenges O’Neill thrives on. He could even bide his time and wait for the right job. If Manchester United win the league and Champions League Ferguson could retire, paving the way for O’Neill’s appointment. If England start their Euro 2012 qualifying campaign badly then Capello could be sacked and O’Neill would be near the top of the FA’s list of potential successors.

Both of these are long term possibilities for Martin O’Neill, though it remains to be seen if he’ll stay out of football that long. You tend to doubt it at the moment, he was enjoying his role with Villa and you get the impression he’d like to get back to it fairly quickly, even if he won’t go to just any old club.

So who in the Premiership could be sacked by Christmas?

Roberto Mancini needs a flying start after spending so much at Manchester City – he will be gone should that not happen and O’Neill would be a shoe-in for that job.

Alex McLeish’s job appears to be a little shaky at Birmingham at the moment with rumours of rifts between him and the board. That’s another club O’Neill would view as a challenge though one can only imagine the backlash from supporters at THAT appointment – on both sides of the Midlands divide!

Finally, a bad start for Newcastle United could end Chris Hughton’s reign at St James Park, though the lack of cash their could put O’Neill off.

There’s plenty of potential opportunity for O’Neill’s next job but nothing available right now. His stock is high, it always has been really, and he will be offered whatever comes up over the next few months. Where he finally chooses to go will be interesting.

I wish him well. He’s a good manager and a great character and I hope he’s back in football soon. For Villa, I have less generous feelings. They have – or rather Randy Lerner has – made a huge mistake in not giving the Irishman what he wanted and they will suffer for it.

Who wants it now: England’s managerial contenders

If, as is widely expected, the Football Association toss several more million pounds Fabio Capello’s way along with his P45 and wish him well, they will then be faced with the daunting prospect of appointing his successor from a very short shortlist of possibilities.

Harry Redknapp

That list gets ever shorter as I expect the FA to return to English managers following the relative failures of the Italian and Sven Goran-Eriksson. They may not have that luxury should the English contenders rule themselves out, so we’d better look at a few of the other options as well.

On with the Englishmen first though.

Roy Hodgson: The Fulham manager’s stock is high right now following his success with the London club in European competition. He’s also a wanted man, with Liverpool wanting him to put them back on the right track. He has international experience with the United Arab Emirates, Finland and Switzerland, as well as working in Scandinavia and Italy at club level. In terms of knowledge and ability there are few to match Hodgson and he’d be a popular choice for the supporters as well. Where my doubts lie are in the strength of his personality – does he have the presence to command and, more importantly, motivate a team of England’s finest players? I just don’t know – but we’ll never know unless he’s given the chance.

Harry Redknapp: Harry seems to be the Marmite of football managers, you either love him or hate him. I love him (but I HATE Marmite). What he has done at club level with small clubs like Bournemouth, West Ham United and Portsmouth has been nothing short of genius and he has taken that to a bigger club in Tottenham and continued in the same fashion. As a motivator he is second to none, his ability to get the very best out of his players – no matter their level of ability – is proven. His career has progressed in such a way that if it doesn’t culminate in managing his country it will be a surprise. The FA, however, will have serious concerns about his baggage, not least the impending court case over alleged tax evasion. But what’s that got to do with football, I ask?

Stuart Pearce: Stuart, for so long a roaring Lion for England on the field, has become rather quieter off it, especially since he joined the international set up. The FA are clearly grooming him for the future and following his success with the Under 21s he joined Fabio Capello’s backroom team to learn from the master – though what he will have learned is a huge question mark now. Perhaps he learned more what NOT to do? Pearce is a student of the game and has a passion for England few can match. That combination could work – but is it too soon? Questions, you see, always questions.

Sam Allardyce: If Roy Hodgson’s stock has risen rapidly, Big Sam’s has dropped at roughly the same speed. His reputation, built at Bolton, actually had him line for the England job at one point but since leaving Bolton he’s struggled to make the same impact at Blackburn. They haven’t done badly – but they haven’t done brilliantly either, and Sam is now out of the frame. Yet he is a players’ manager, able, like Redknapp, to coax performances from average players. A useful skill for an England manager to have… The FA will only turn to Allardyce now if they have exhausted all other options, however.

It is not beyond the realms of possibility that the FA could look below the Premier League at English managers and coaches in the Championship. It’s unlikely, but not impossible. Who do we have down there that might be in with a shout then?

Well, there’s Steve Coppell at Bristol City for one. The former England international has all the credentials, is well respected and a good coach. There must be a question mark over his ability to handle the pressure of the big job though – he lasted just 33 days at Manchester City due to it. Nevertheless, his success with Reading in particular must count to his credit.

There are plenty of other good, if not great, English managers in the Premiership. But you just can’t see the FA going for them, likely through fear of both the unknown – they haven’t done it at the top level yet – and fear of a fans backlash. Despite everything, England fans will demand a big enough name. The logic is flawed, of course, but it’s human nature.

How, though, are English manager ever going to get that top level experience when Premiership clubs insist on appointing big name foreigners? Therein lies the problem. The topic was discussed on Radio 5Live last night and it was pointed out that the best sides at this year’s World Cup are managed by men of the same nationality – and that the clubs in those countries are managed by the same for the most part. Coincidence?

So what of the foreign options left open to the FA?

Arsene Wenger: Hugely respected at the FA and clearly a fantastic manager but an outside bet anyway, simply due to the fact Wenger is unlikely to want to manage England. He would no doubt be flattered to be considered, but would turn it down with grace. Whether or not he could get the best out of England’s players without the day to day contact he enjoys at Arsenal is a worry as well.

Martin O’Neill: Here we have a real man-manager who enjoys working with English players and nurturing them at Aston Villa. On paper he is the ideal candidate and he’d jump at the chance of the England job. He isn’t one for staying too long at a club so it gets stale too and I get the sense that might not be too far off with Villa. Another season or two? He’s definitely in with a shout, though apparently he didn’t impress in his last interview with the FA when they looked for a replacement for Eriksson. They’ll take another look though.

David Moyes: Another in with a shout due to his success with Everton on a shoe string. He can clearly motivate his men, his tactical ability is strong and he is a willing learner. Importantly, he is also good with the press. Whether he can handle the pressures of the England job is a debate to have but there’s nothing yet to suggest he couldn’t.

Would the FA consider a previous England manager? It is doubtful, but Steve McLaren has proved what a good manager he can be with FC Twente and one newspaper even touted Eriksson as an option! I’ll toss another name into the ring too – Glenn Hoddle. He had England playing the best football I have seen them play. It was a shame he was and still maybe a complete loon, but he suits international management in my mind.

If I had to pick one right now to replace Capello, however, I wouldn’t hesitate in choosing Harry Redknapp. England don’t need a tactical genius, they need a man who can motivate, handle the press and with enough brains to send his team out knowing the jobs they have to do. For me, Redknapp is it and right now he’s at the top of his game.

Where would your vote go?

Liverpool’s managerial hunt begins

Kenny Dalglish

Destined for the Anfield hotseat whether he likes it or not?

Now that Rafa Benitez has fled for pastures much greener (likely to be European champions Inter Milan), Liverpool are left with the unenviable task of finding a manager to restore their former glory.

The problem they have, however, is that they are no longer such an attractive proposition to many managers, crippled as they are by debt and with growing unrest in the dressing room following Benitez’s departure.

Speculation already surrounds the future of Stephen Gerrard, wanted by Jose Mourinho at Real Madrid, Fernando Torres, a reported target for Chelsea and Manchester City, Yossi Benayoun has issued a (fanciful) come and get me plea to Chelsea and Argentinian mercenary Javier Mascherano also looks set to leave to the highest bidder.

None of this is going to be particularly appealing to any prospective manager looking to further his career and add the famous Liverpool name to his CV.

The real problem though is the £351 million of debt the club’s American owners have managed to accrue. Rebuilding a team capable of winning the Premier League – surely the minimum the supporters expect still – with no funds will be impossible. Persuading the likes of Torres and Gerrard to stay will be only slightly more possible.

To do that Liverpool managing director Christian Purslow and former boss and Anfield legend Kenny Dalglish – the men charged with finding a replacement – must attract a big name capable of convincing the big name players that he is the man to put the club back in contention for honours.

The lack of Champions League football next season is also a negative for players and possible managers as well. In short, the future for Liverpool looks bleak.

Let’s leave the playing staff to one side, however, and look at the names being touted around for the now hotter than ever Anfield hotseat.

First of all there is Kenny Dalglish himself. He’s already managed the club to success and is, of course, popular with the supporters. He has received backing from former players Jamie Redknapp and Bruce Grobbelaar. It would be a step backwards and I’m not sure Dalglish would be that interested. He is, presumably, being very well paid to ‘consult’ on Benitez’s replacement so taking the job himself might not be what he wants.

Outside pressure may convince him to take up the position, at least on a temporary basis until a big name manager becomes available.

One such big name is new Turkey boss Guus Hiddink. A proven manager with a long list of successes, Hiddink may have the presence to convince Liverpool’s big name players to give it another season and could have the skills to mould the current side into a more successful unit. His agent has already said the move is unlikely though and Hiddink has a history of remaining loyal to his contracts.

Martin O’Neill is a far more likely candidate. He could operate within the tight budgets that will be inflicted on the new manager, he is good with the players and he must now be looking to make a step up from Aston Villa. The only thing lacking from his CV is a big name club (unless you include Celtic – and I don’t). Liverpool would suit him perfectly.

Villa owner Randy Lerner will step in and try to convince O’Neill to stay should Liverpool make an approach and the good working relationship they have – compared to the mess that is the Anfield ownership – may swing the balance in the Birmingham club’s favour.

There is no doubt that O’Neill would seriously consider it but would ask for certain assurances. It would be up to Dalglish and Purslow to give them – if they can.

Fulham’s success in the Europa League last season has pushed Roy Hodgson’s name to the forefront of many club’s thoughts, Liverpool included. Like O’Neill, Hodgson would see Liverpool as a step up and an opportunity to further his career. The supporters may not be as happy with his appointment as one might imagine, however. Despite his glowing record with Inter Milan and Fulham and his wealth of managerial knowledge there remains a niggling doubt from the man in the street.

Fulham chairman Mohammed Al-Fayed would fight tooth and nail to keep his man, of course, but the lure of Anfield may be enough. Hodgson is unlikely to be as fazed by the club’s financial mess as O’Neill would be.

Harry Redknapp is another name that has been mentioned. This, though, is very unlikely. The Tottenham manager has Champions League football to look forward to next season, he is in the process of building a side capable of challenging for an even higher position in the Premier League than last season’s fourth place and he seems more settled than he has in a long time.

Add in the fact Harry has never managed up North and is a London boy at heart and there seems no reason why he would move to Liverpool. Except one – Redknapp covets the England job and he may feel that managing Liverpool would bring him closer to getting it once Capello has moved on. That would be one hell of a risk to take though.

Other names being linked include Bayern Munich’s Louis van Gaal, Croatia’s Slaven Bilic, Galatasary’s Frank Rijkaard and former Manchester City boss Mark Hughes. All of these would be put off by the club’s financial and ownership worries, however.

Liverpool have a difficult job convincing any prospective manager that these issues are just temporary and it seems likely that before they can attract the man they want then a new owner and more stability will have to be found at boardroom level. That means the smart money must go on Dalglish to take charge in the short term until those problems are resolved.

Right now that seems the only viable option and the club’s supporters must resign themselves to another unsuccessful season next year – and maybe for more seasons after that – and the loss of some of their favourite players too.